CHL season completed Sunday so I figured we would look at the attendance for the year. Overall, the WHL is down 1.3% which the QMJHL is down almost 7% year over year. The OHL is not available due to a change in how they share the attendance numbers.
Here is the individual team change year over year for both the WHL and QMJHL.
Here are my quick thoughts on the 2014 NHL Entry Draft.
Country of Birth
Canada had its lowest number of drafted players in the Expansion era. Although it does not show the graph, gains were made in Russia, Sweden and Czech Republic. All three countries had the second most players drafted in the last 10 years. Meanwhile, the US had their 10 year high with 66 players drafted. The US peak of 66 is still relatively modest while the drop in Canadians has been a slow trend we have seen for years. Canadians still dominate the Draft and the NHL but it should be interesting to see how this plays out.
As always, North American Major Junior Hockey dominates the field, particularly the OHL. As you will see in the graph, the OHL is right around their average & had 10 picks in the first round. The WHL also held serve with the 2nd most picks in the draft and 9 out of the first round. The QMJHL only had 17 picks which is the lowest number of players drafted in the last 10 years. It should be pointed out that the WHL has 22 teams where the OHL and QMJHL have 20 and 18 respectively.
The bigger story is the rise of the USHL. They had an all time high of 30 players drafted (with only 16 teams). The USHL is becoming a force but it might be a couple more years before we see how this translates to the NHL.
…and it looks like the Gladwell Effect
is till very much alive, particularly in Canada.
It should be no surprise to anyone that Major Junior amateur leagues dominate the NHL Entry Draft but there are some other nuggets of information that might not be that obvious.
The below chart shows that OHL, WHL and QMJHL dominate the league compared to other leagues but when you look at the second chart in blue, it showcases a couple interesting stories: 1) The QMJHL under-performs compared to OHL and WHL. 2) On average, players drafted from the CCHA and WCHA do extremely well. (CCHA and WCHA have gone through some realignment over the last few years and can just be considered US Men’s Div 1 College Hockey)
Another spin on the data shows things a little better. For the chart below, I isolated the draft years to include 2001-2010 since players drafted after 2011 are still breaking into the NHL and eliminates a time bias. (i.e. only 10 players from the 2013 draft played in the NHL last year and including the 2013 draft would sku the numbers a bit.)
Here is a list of the top WCHA and CCHA players drafted. Note there are several draft picks that have never seen NHL ice but that is consistent with a lot of players.
….and for the heck of it since I had the data. Here is a scatter plot of number of players drafted and their games played in the NHL by CHL team.
Let me know if you have any special requests.
With the Stanley Cup Playoffs a distant memory, us hockey fanatics look to the NHL Entry Draft to fill the void. Like most professional sports amateur drafts, getting drafted gives players no guarantees on making the show. If you look across 10 year from 1999 to 2008, 56.5% of players drafted will never play a game in the NHL with about 25% of the kids drafted playing in over 100 games.
As expected, the earlier rounds have more success reaching the NHL than the later rounds. Here is a look at the same chart with looking at only the 1st three rounds of draft picks.
And completing the picture…isolating on the 1st round picks only.
Only the 2003 had 100% of their 1st Round Draft picks play in the NHL.
Tomorrow I post what to expect of the players by round.